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الجمعة، 4 نوفمبر 2016

DOLLAR LOOKS TO STABILISE AHEAD OF NON-FARM PAYROLLS

After several days of dollar correction, the bulls are starting to build support again which is starting to unwind some of the recent safe haven flows ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls. The need to re-price for a Trump victory has sent market fear soaring in recent days with the VIX volatility closing yesterday at its highest level (at 22) since Brexit. However, whilst equity markets are feeling the concern, it is interesting to see Treasury yields begin to pick up slightly again and the US Trade Weighted Dollar also moving higher. This is helping the dollar to perform better across the forex majors and begin to unwind some of the safe haven flows away from the yen and gold. Today is Non-farm Payrolls and with the Fed still firmly on course for a rate hike in December it would need a drastically disappointing set of labor market data to alter market expectations. With expectation of another middle of the road report and the market more mindful of the impending election, it is possible that this could be one of the lower volatility Non-farm Payrolls Fridays we have seen for a while.

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